macroeconomic models;
fiscal policy;
closure rules;
sustainability;
model simulations;
D O I:
10.1016/S0264-9993(99)00026-7
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
Fiscal closure rules that enforce the government's intertemporal budget constraint are important elements of macroeconomic models. This article presents a systematic study of the different rules employed on different models, considering both their theoretical properties and their comparative behaviour in model simulations. For tax-difference rules targeting debt/GDP or deficit/GDP ratios and tax-level rules which include the MSG2 'incremental interest payments' rule as a special case we show how both the steady-state implications and, to some extent, the short-run dynamics can be made comparable. Many of the theoretical equivalences are then observed in simulations of the MSG2 MULTIMOD and NIGEM models. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. JEL classifications: C5; E6.
机构:
Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, MoscowCenter for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
Ablaev E.Y.
Magzhanov T.R.
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机构:
Moscow State University, MoscowCenter for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting, Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow
机构:
IPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
Pontificia Univ Catolica Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Dept Econ, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, BrazilIPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
Cavalcanti, Marco A. F. H.
Vereda, Luciano
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机构:
Univ Fed Fluminense, Dept Econ, Niteroi, RI, BrazilIPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
Vereda, Luciano
Doctors, Rebeca de B.
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h-index: 0
机构:
Pontificia Univ Catolica Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Dept Econ, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, BrazilIPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
Doctors, Rebeca de B.
Lima, Felipe C.
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机构:
Pontificia Univ Catolica Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Dept Econ, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, BrazilIPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
Lima, Felipe C.
Maynard, Lucas
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机构:
Pontificia Univ Catolica Rio de Janeiro PUC Rio, Dept Econ, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, BrazilIPEA, Dept Macroecon Policies & Studies, Rio De Janeiro, RJ, Brazil