Surface water-groundwater interactions in catchment scale water resources assessments-understanding and hypothesis testing with a hydrological model

Interactions between surface water and groundwater systems in fractured rock environments, covering large parts of southern Africa, are poorly understood, such that modelling the different water balance components is highly uncertain. Some of these uncertainties are highlighted and attempts are made to resolve them using hypothesis testing with an uncertain ensemble version of the widely used Pitman hydrological model that includes relevant groundwater components. Five study catchments are used to represent many of the major uncertainties in linking surface and groundwater resources, including the relative importance of deep unsaturated zone drainage, the balance between recharge and losses through riparian evapotranspiration and channel transmission losses. The study demonstrates that some uncertainties can be reduced, but this also involves making a number of assumptions about other aspects of a catchment water balance that can be conceptually supported but not completely validated with available data. The remaining uncertainties need to be resolved through improved process quantification and understanding, possibly using environmental tracers.