Describing and projecting the age and spatial structures of interregional migration in Italy

被引：17
|
作者：
Raymer, James [1 ]
Bonaguidi, Alberto
Valentini, Alessandro
机构：
[1] Univ Southampton, Sch Social Sci, Div Social Stat, Southampton SO17 1BJ, Hants, England
[2] Univ Pisa, Dipartimento Stat & Matemat Applicata Econ, I-56100 Pisa, Italy
来源：
POPULATION SPACE AND PLACE | 2006年 / 12卷 / 05期
关键词：
internal migration; migration analysis; migration estimation; migration projection; Italy; categorical data analysis;
D O I：
10.1002/psp.414
中图分类号：
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号：
摘要：
A multiplicative component model is applied in this paper to present a simple, yet powerful, framework for analysing and projecting internal migration flows. The multiplicative components are useful for identifying important underlying structures in the migration patterns. To demonstrate, seven periods of age-specific interregional migration in Italy (1970-1971 to 2000-2001) are analysed. This information is then used to project the age and spatial structures forward to the 2010-2011 period. The projection model focuses on the underlying structures, which allows both the stable and changing aspects of the migration patterns to be included. Copyright (c) 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码：371 / 388
页数：18
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