Dynamic Pricing in the Presence of Social Learning and Strategic Consumers

被引:186
|
作者
Papanastasiou, Yiangos [1 ]
Savva, Nicos [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Calif Berkeley, Haas Sch Business, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA
[2] London Business Sch, London NW1 4SA, England
关键词
Bayesian social learning; strategic consumer behavior; dynamic pricing; applied game theory; ONLINE PRODUCT REVIEWS; CUSTOMER BEHAVIOR; DISCRIMINATION; INFORMATION; SALES; MONOPOLY; POLICIES; DEMAND; MODEL; GOODS;
D O I
10.1287/mnsc.2015.2378
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
When a product of uncertain quality is first introduced, consumers may choose to strategically delay their purchasing decisions in anticipation of the product reviews of their peers. This paper investigates how the presence of social learning affects the strategic interaction between a dynamic-pricing monopolist and a forward-looking consumer population, within a simple two-period model. Our analysis yields three main insights. First, we find that the presence of social learning has significant structural implications for optimal pricing policies: In the absence of social learning, decreasing price plans are always preferred by the firm; by contrast, in the presence of social learning we find that (i) if the firm commits to a price path ex ante (preannounced pricing), an increasing price plan is typically announced, whereas (ii) if the firm adjusts price dynamically (responsive pricing), prices are initially low and may either rise or decline over time. Second, we establish that under both preannounced and responsive pricing, even though the social learning process exacerbates strategic consumer behavior (i.e., increases strategic purchasing delays), its presence results in an increase in expected firm profit. Third, we illustrate that, contrary to results reported in existing literature on strategic consumer behavior, in settings where social learning is significantly influential, preannounced pricing policies are generally not beneficial for the firm.
引用
收藏
页码:919 / 939
页数:21
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