Hybrid Grey forecasting model for Taiwan's Hsinchu Science Industrial Park

被引:0
|
作者
Sun, Chia Chi [1 ]
Lin, Grace T. R. [1 ]
机构
[1] Natl Chiao Tung Univ, Inst Technol Management, Hsinchu, Taiwan
来源
关键词
Grey forecasting model; Hsinchu Science Industrial Park; Markov chain; PREDICTION;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
Grey theory is an effective method to solve uncertainty problems with discrete data and incomplete information. This paper proposes an improved grey GM (1, 1) model, using a technique that combines residual modification with Markov chain model. Proposed Grey-Markov model, applied as a case study to annual output of Taiwan Hsinchu Industries Science Park, could clearly improve forecast accuracy of original Grey forecast model.
引用
收藏
页码:354 / 360
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Forecasting Taiwan's major stock indices by the Nash nonlinear grey Bernoulli model
    Chen, Chun-I
    Hsin, Pei-Han
    Wu, Chin-Shun
    [J]. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2010, 37 (12) : 7557 - 7562
  • [32] Hysteresis Effects of R&D Expenditures and Patents on Firm Performance: An empirical study of Hsinchu Science Park in Taiwan
    Huang, Shi-Zheng
    Wu, Tung-Ju
    Tsai, Hsien-Tang
    [J]. FILOMAT, 2016, 30 (15) : 4265 - 4278
  • [33] Grey forecasting model for CO2 emissions: A Taiwan study
    Lin, Chiun-Sin
    Liou, Fen-May
    Huang, Chih-Pin
    [J]. APPLIED ENERGY, 2011, 88 (11) : 3816 - 3820
  • [34] Forecast of the output value of Taiwan's opto-electronics industry using the Grey forecasting model
    Lin, CT
    Yang, SY
    [J]. TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE, 2003, 70 (02) : 177 - 186
  • [35] A computable general equilibrium model of the southern region of Taiwan: the impact of the Tainan science-based industrial park
    Liu, Chun-Chu
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2006, 38 (14) : 1655 - 1661
  • [36] Application hybrid grey dynamic model to forecasting compensatory control
    Li, Guo-Dong
    Yamaguchi, Daisuke
    Nagai, Masatake
    [J]. ENGINEERING COMPUTATIONS, 2007, 24 (7-8) : 699 - 711
  • [37] RETRACTED: Co-Creating Customer-centric Service System for Innovative Industrial Cluster: Implementation of NSoC Program as a Transition Paradigm of Hsinchu Science Park, Taiwan (Retracted Article)
    Hwang, Ching-Ming
    Hsu, How-Gao
    Hwang, Po-Yu
    [J]. 2009 IITA INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SERVICES SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT AND ENGINEERING, PROCEEDINGS, 2009, : 517 - +
  • [38] Analyzing Taiwan IC Assembly Industry by Grey-Markov Forecasting Model
    Lin, Lei-Chuan
    Wu, Shan-Yau
    [J]. MATHEMATICAL PROBLEMS IN ENGINEERING, 2013, 2013
  • [39] The Forecasting of Taiwan's Unemployment Rate by Grey Theory with Singular Raw Data
    Huang, Shou-Jen
    Chen, Chun-I
    [J]. 2012 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND INFORMATION APPLICATION TECHNOLOGY (ESIAT 2012), 2013, 14 : 123 - 128
  • [40] Hybrid Computational Model for Forecasting Taiwan Construction Cost Index
    Cao, Minh-Tu
    Cheng, Min-Yuan
    Wu, Yu-Wei
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT, 2015, 141 (04)