Two-patch model for the spread of West Nile virus

被引:11
|
作者
Zhang, Juping [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Cosner, Chris [5 ]
Zhu, Huaiping [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Shanxi Univ, Complex Syst Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Shanxi, Peoples R China
[2] York Univ, LAMPS, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada
[3] York Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Toronto, ON M3J 1P3, Canada
[4] Shanxi Univ, Shanxi Key Lab Math Tech & Big Data Anal Dis Cont, Taiyuan 030006, Shanxi, Peoples R China
[5] Univ Miami, Dept Math, Coral Gables, FL 33124 USA
基金
加拿大自然科学与工程研究理事会;
关键词
West Nile virus; Patch model; Mosquitoes; Birds migration; Basic reproduction number; Stability; MULTISPECIES EPIDEMIC MODEL; MOSQUITO-BORNE DISEASE; HETEROGENEOUS POPULATIONS; REPRODUCTION NUMBERS; INFECTIOUS-DISEASES; SPATIAL DYNAMICS; TRANSMISSION; MALARIA; PERSISTENCE; ENVIRONMENT;
D O I
10.1007/s11538-018-0404-8
中图分类号
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
A two-patch model for the spread of West Nile virus between two discrete geographic regions is established to incorporate a mobility process which describes how contact transmission occurs between individuals from and between two regions. In the mobility process, we assume that the host birds can migrate between regions, but not the mosquitoes. The basic reproduction number is computed by the next generation matrix method. We prove that if , then the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. If , the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable for any nonnegative nontrivial initial data. Using the perturbation theory, we obtain the concrete expression of the endemic equilibrium of the model with a mild restriction of the birds movement rate between patches. Finally, numerical simulations demonstrate that the disease becomes endemic in both patches when birds move back and forth between the two regions. Some numerical simulations for in terms of the birds movement rate are performed which show that the impacts could be very complicated.
引用
收藏
页码:840 / 863
页数:24
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