Integrated Electricity and Gas Market Modeling - Effects of Gas Demand Uncertainty

被引：0
|
作者：
Riepin, Iegor [1 ]
Moebius, Thomas [1 ]
Muesgens, Felix [1 ]
机构：
[1] Brandenburg Univ Technol Cottbus Senftenberg, Chair Energy Econ, Cottbus, Germany
来源：
2018 15TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET (EEM) | 2018年
关键词：
Electricity market; Integrated energy system modeling; Natural gas market; Stochastic modeling;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号：
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要：
This paper develops an integrated fundamental investment model which considers both the gas and electricity sector. Furthermore, we adopt the theory of stochastic programming with recourse in the combined model to account for uncertainty in the gas market. This approach enables us to analyze how uncertain gas demand in other sectors affects decisions to invest in electricity generation capacities. We find an overall decrease and a reallocation of investments in gas-fired power plants. We also quantify the expected costs of ignoring uncertainty.
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页数：5
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