Testing of unit root and other nonstationary hypotheses in macroeconomic time series

被引:308
|
作者
GilAlana, LA [1 ]
Robinson, PM [1 ]
机构
[1] UNIV LONDON LONDON SCH ECON & POLIT SCI,DEPT ECON,LONDON WC2A 2AE,ENGLAND
关键词
nonstationarity; macroeconomic time series; fractional integration;
D O I
10.1016/S0304-4076(97)00038-9
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Recently proposed tests for unit root and other nonstationarity of Robinson (1994a) are applied to an extended version of the data set used by Nelson and Plosser (1982). Unusually, the tests are efficient (against appropriate parametric alternatives), the null can be any member of the I(d) class, and the null limit distribution is chi-squared. The conclusions vary substantially across the 14 series, and across different models for the disturbances (which, also unusually, include the Bloomfield spectral model). Overall, the consumer price index and money stock seem the most nonstationary, while industrial production and unemployment rate seem the closest to stationarity. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science S.A.
引用
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页码:241 / 268
页数:28
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