ice drift;
marine pollution;
statistics;
prediction;
European arctic;
D O I:
10.1016/S0025-326X(02)00087-5
中图分类号:
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号:
08 ;
0830 ;
摘要:
The present estimates of ice drift in the Arctic include utilization of satellite imagery data (special sensor microwave/imager) and a reconstruction of air pressure for the period 1899-1998. A significant part of the sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has its origin in the Kara Sea and melts in the Greenland and the Barents Sea (BS). Consequently there may be a particular risk of pollutants in the Kara Sea entering the food webs of the Greenland and BS. The ice export from the Kara Sea between 1988 and 1994 was about 208,000 km(2) (154 km(3)) per year. The import of ice into the BS was during the same period 16 1,000 km(2) (183 km(3)) per year while the ice drift through the Fram Strait into the Greenland Sea was 583,000 km 2 (1859 km(3)) per year. Ice which formed adjacent to the Ob and Yenisey rivers in early January, drifted into the BS within two years (with a probability of about 50%). (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.