Modeling the dynamics of novel coronavirus (2019-nCov) with fractional derivative

被引:495
|
作者
Khan, Muhammad Altaf [1 ]
Atangana, Abdon [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Free State, Fac Nat & Agr Sci, Bloemfontein, South Africa
[2] China Med Univ, China Med Univ Hosp, Dept Med Res, Taichung, Taiwan
关键词
Corona virus; Fractional mathematical model; Stability results; Real data; Numerical results; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1016/j.aej.2020.02.033
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
The present paper describes the mathematical modeling and dynamics of a novel corona virus (2019-nCoV). We describe the brief details of interaction among the bats and unknown hosts, then among the peoples and the infections reservoir (seafood market). The seafood marked are con-sidered the main source of infection when the bats and the unknown hosts (may be wild animals) leaves the infection there. The purchasing of items from the seafood market by peoples have the ability to infect either asymptomatically or symptomatically. We reduced the model with the assumptions that the seafood market has enough source of infection that can be effective to infect people. We present the mathematical results of the model and then formulate a fractional model. We consider the available infection cases for January 21, 2020, till January 28, 2020 and parame-terized the model. We compute the basic reproduction number for the data is R-0 approximate to 2:4829. The fractional model is then solved numerically by presenting many graphical results, which can be help-ful for the infection minimization. (C) 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of Faculty of Engineering, Alexandria University. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/ licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
引用
收藏
页码:2379 / 2389
页数:11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Molecular Diagnosis of a Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Causing an Outbreak of Pneumonia
    Chu, Daniel K. W.
    Pan, Yang
    Cheng, Samuel M. S.
    Hui, Kenrie P. Y.
    Krishnan, Pavithra
    Liu, Yingzhi
    Ng, Daisy Y. M.
    Wan, Carrie K. C.
    Yang, Peng
    Wang, Quanyi
    Peiris, Malik
    Poon, Leo L. M.
    CLINICAL CHEMISTRY, 2020, 66 (04) : 549 - 555
  • [42] Deep Learning Based Drug Screening for Novel Coronavirus 2019-nCov
    Zhang, Haiping
    Saravanan, Konda Mani
    Yang, Yang
    Hossain, Md Tofazzal
    Li, Junxin
    Ren, Xiaohu
    Pan, Yi
    Wei, Yanjie
    INTERDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-COMPUTATIONAL LIFE SCIENCES, 2020, 12 (03) : 368 - 376
  • [43] Dose prediction of lopinavir/ritonavir for 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection based on mathematic modeling
    Yasri, Sora
    Wiwanitkit, Viroj
    ASIAN PACIFIC JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE, 2020, 13 (03) : 137 - 138
  • [44] Genome Composition and Divergence of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Originating in China
    Wu, Aiping
    Peng, Yousong
    Huang, Baoying
    Ding, Xiao
    Wang, Xianyue
    Niu, Peihua
    Meng, Jing
    Zhu, Zhaozhong
    Zhang, Zheng
    Wang, Jiangyuan
    Sheng, Jie
    Quan, Lijun
    Xia, Zanxian
    Tan, Wenjie
    Cheng, Genhong
    Jiang, Taijiao
    CELL HOST & MICROBE, 2020, 27 (03) : 325 - 328
  • [45] Mathematical Analysis of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCov) Delay Pandemic Model
    Naveed, Muhammad
    Rafiq, Muhammad
    Raza, Ali
    Ahmed, Nauman
    Khan, Ilyas
    Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy
    Soori, Atif Hassan
    CMC-COMPUTERS MATERIALS & CONTINUA, 2020, 64 (03): : 1401 - 1414
  • [46] Deep Learning Based Drug Screening for Novel Coronavirus 2019-nCov
    Haiping Zhang
    Konda Mani Saravanan
    Yang Yang
    Md. Tofazzal Hossain
    Junxin Li
    Xiaohu Ren
    Yi Pan
    Yanjie Wei
    Interdisciplinary Sciences: Computational Life Sciences, 2020, 12 : 368 - 376
  • [47] Human mobility restrictions and the spread of the Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) in China
    Fang, Hanming
    Wang, Long
    Yang, Yang
    JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ECONOMICS, 2020, 191
  • [48] Numerical Analysis of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCov) Pandemic Model with Advection
    Azam, Shumaila
    Ahmed, Nauman
    Raza, Ali
    Iqbal, Muhammad Sajid
    Rafiq, Muhammad
    Khan, Ilyas
    Nisar, Kottakkaran Sooppy
    Ahmad, Muhammad Ozair
    Iqbal, Zafar
    CMC-COMPUTERS MATERIALS & CONTINUA, 2021, 67 (03): : 2933 - 2953
  • [49] The Novel Chinese Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infections: challenges for fighting the storm
    Bassetti, Matteo
    Vena, Antonio
    Giacobbe, Daniele Roberto
    EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, 2020, 50 (03)
  • [50] Dose prediction of lopinavir/ritonavir for 2019-novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection based on mathematic modeling
    Sora Yasri
    Viroj Wiwanitkit
    Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine, 2020, (03) : 137 - 138