Rise of nations: Why do empires expand and fall?

被引:2
|
作者
Vakulenko, S. [1 ]
Lyakhov, D. A. [2 ]
Weber, A. G. [3 ]
Lukichev, D. [4 ]
Michels, D. L. [5 ]
机构
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Inst Problems Mech Engn, Bolshoj Ave 61, St Petersburg 199178, Russia
[2] King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Visual Comp Ctr, Computat Sci Grp, Thuwal 239556900, Saudi Arabia
[3] Univ Bonn, Inst Comp Sci 2, Regina Pacis Weg 3, D-53113 Bonn, Germany
[4] ITMO Univ, Sch Comp Technol & Controls, Fac Control Syst & Ind Robot, Kronverkskiy Ave 49, St Petersburg 197101, Russia
[5] King Abdullah Univ Sci & Technol, Comp Elect & Math Sci & Engn Div, Thuwal 239556900, Saudi Arabia
基金
美国国家卫生研究院;
关键词
NETWORKS; MODEL;
D O I
10.1063/5.0004795
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
We consider centralized networks composed of multiple satellites arranged around a few dominating super-egoistic centers. These so-called empires are organized using a divide and rule framework enforcing strong center-satellite interactions while keeping the pairwise interactions between the satellites sufficiently weak. We present a stochastic stability analysis, in which we consider these dynamical systems as stable if the centers have sufficient resources while the satellites have no value. Our model is based on a Hopfield type network that proved its significance in the field of artificial intelligence. Using this model, it is shown that the divide and rule framework provides important advantages: it allows for completely controlling the dynamics in a straight-forward way by adjusting center-satellite interactions. Moreover, it is shown that such empires should only have a single ruling center to provide sufficient stability. To survive, empires should have switching mechanisms implementing adequate behavior models by choosing appropriate local attractors in order to correctly respond to internal and external challenges. By an analogy with Bose-Einstein condensation, we show that if the noise correlations are negative for each pair of nodes, then the most stable structure with respect to noise is a globally connected network. For social systems, we show that controllability by their centers is only possible if the centers evolve slowly. Except for short periods when the state approaches a certain stable state, the development of such structures is very slow and negatively correlated with the size of the system's structure. Hence, increasing size eventually ends up in the "control trap."
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页数:12
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