OPTIMIZATION OF ENSEMBLE NEURAL NETWORKS WITH TYPE-2 FUZZY INTEGRATION OF RESPONSES FOR THE DOW JONES TIME SERIES PREDICTION

被引:8
|
作者
Melin, Patricia [1 ]
Pulido, Martha [1 ]
机构
[1] Tijuana Inst Technol, Fracc Tomas Aquino 22379, Tijuana, Mexico
来源
关键词
Ensemble Neural Networks; Genetic Algorithms; Optimization; Time Series Prediction; MODEL; SYSTEMS; LOGIC;
D O I
10.1080/10798587.2014.893047
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
This paper describes an optimization method based on genetic algorithms for designing ensemble neural networks with fuzzy response aggregation to forecast complex time series. The time series that was considered in this paper, to compare the hybrid approach with traditional methods, is the Dow Jones data, and the results are presented for the optimization of the structure of the ensemble neural network with type-1 and type-2 fuzzy response integration. Simulation results show that the ensemble approach produces 99% prediction accuracy for the Dow Jones time series and that using type-2 fuzzy logic improves the performance of the predictor.
引用
收藏
页码:403 / 418
页数:16
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] An Improved Boosting Scheme based Ensemble of Fuzzy Neural Networks for Nonlinear Time Series Prediction
    Dong, Yilin
    Zhang, Jianhua
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2014 INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON NEURAL NETWORKS (IJCNN), 2014, : 157 - 164
  • [32] Local meteorological forecasting by Type-2 Fuzzy Systems time series prediction
    Mencattini, A
    Salmeri, M
    Bertazzoni, S
    Lojacono, R
    Pasero, E
    Moniaci, W
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2005 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE FOR MEASUREMENT SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS, 2005, : 75 - 80
  • [33] An evolving recurrent interval type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy neural network for online learning and time series prediction
    Chao, Luo
    Tan, Chenhao
    Wang, Xingyuan
    Zheng, Yuanjie
    [J]. APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING, 2019, 78 : 150 - 163
  • [34] Genetic Optimization of Type-1 and Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Integrators in Ensembles of ANFIS Models for Time Series Prediction
    Soto, Jesus
    Melin, Patricia
    Castillo, Oscar
    [J]. RECENT DEVELOPMENTS AND NEW DIRECTION IN SOFT-COMPUTING FOUNDATIONS AND APPLICATIONS, 2016, 342 : 331 - 351
  • [35] Simplified Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Neural Networks
    Lin, Yang-Yin
    Liao, Shih-Hui
    Chang, Jyh-Yeong
    Lin, Chin-Teng
    [J]. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NEURAL NETWORKS AND LEARNING SYSTEMS, 2014, 25 (05) : 959 - 969
  • [36] Bird Swarm Algorithm and Particle Swarm Optimization in Ensemble Recurrent Neural Networks Optimization for Time Series Prediction
    Pulido, Martha
    Melin, Patricia
    [J]. COMPUTACION Y SISTEMAS, 2024, 28 (02): : 847 - 859
  • [37] Stock Market Prediction with Multiple Regression, Fuzzy Type-2 Clustering and Neural Networks
    Enke, David
    Grauer, Manfred
    Mehdiyev, Nijat
    [J]. COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEMS, 2011, 6
  • [38] Type-2 Fuzzy Weight Adjustment for Backpropagation in Prediction Time Series and Pattern Recognition
    Gaxiola, Fernando
    Melin, Patricia
    Valdez, Fevrier
    [J]. SOFT COMPUTING APPLICATIONS IN OPTIMIZATION, CONTROL, AND RECOGNITION, 2013, 294 : 187 - 213
  • [39] Construction of asymmetric type-2 fuzzy membership functions and application in time series prediction
    Pan, Hung-Yi
    Lee, Ching-Hung
    Chang, Fu-Kai
    Chang, Sheng-Kai
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF 2007 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MACHINE LEARNING AND CYBERNETICS, VOLS 1-7, 2007, : 2024 - 2030
  • [40] Integration of neural networks and expert systems for time series prediction
    Department of Computer Sciences and Technologies, Technical University of Varna, United Kingdom
    [J]. ACM Int. Conf. Proc. Ser, (534-539):