Mean wind speed persistence over China

被引:6
|
作者
Jiang, Lei [1 ]
机构
[1] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Marine Sci, Nanjing 210044, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
关键词
Mean wind speed; Long-term persistence; Detrended fluctuation analysis; Wind energy potential; Scaling behavior; DETRENDED FLUCTUATION ANALYSIS; DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDS; SURFACE-TEMPERATURE; AIR-TEMPERATURE; ATMOSPHERIC VARIABILITY; SCALING BEHAVIORS;
D O I
10.1016/j.physa.2018.02.058
中图分类号
O4 [物理学];
学科分类号
0702 ;
摘要
The wind speed persistence is an important factor in the assessment of wind energy potential. In this paper, we explore the persistence of Mean Wind Speed (MWS) with many years of record using Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) over China. The results illustrate that there exist irregular high-frequency fluctuations for daily MWS anomaly records. Long-term persistence of MWS is found for all meteorological observed sites. We also make some numerical tests in order to verify the significance of long-term persistence by shuffling the data records many times. These facts prove that the MWS anomaly records have long-term persistence over all the stations in China. The mean value 0.64 in DFA-exponents for all stations over China is also obviously higher than the value 0.53 according to interval threshold of 95% confidence level after shuffling the MWS records many times. In addition, the values of scaling exponent vary from station to station over China. Long-term persistence of MWS in spatial distributions seems to be downward trends from east to west China. Many factors may affect long-term persistence of MWS such as southwest monsoon, Tibetan Plateau landform and atmosphere-ocean-land interaction and so on. Possible physical mechanism need further analysis in the future. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:211 / 217
页数:7
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