The term structure of equity and variance risk premia

被引:28
|
作者
Ait-Sahalia, Yacine [1 ,2 ]
Karaman, Mustafa [3 ,4 ]
Mancini, Loriano [4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Princeton Univ, Bendheim Ctr Finance, Dept Econ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA
[2] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Univ Zurich, Dept Banking & Finance, Plattenstr 14, CH-8032 Zurich, Switzerland
[4] Swiss Finance Inst, Zurich, Switzerland
[5] Univ Svizzera Italiana USI, Inst Finance, Via Buffi 13, CH-6900 Lugano, Switzerland
关键词
Variance swap; Stochastic volatility; Likelihood approximation; Term structure; Equity risk premium; Variance risk premium; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD-ESTIMATION; MODEL-SPECIFICATION; STOCK RETURNS; P; 500; VOLATILITY; DYNAMICS; PRICE; JUMP; OPTIONS; HETEROSKEDASTICITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.03.002
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study the term structure of variance swaps, equity and variance risk premia. A model-free analysis reveals a significant price jump component in variance swaps. A model-based analysis shows that investors' willingness to ensure against volatility risk increases after a market drop. This effect is stronger for short maturities, but more persistent for long maturities. During the financial crisis investors demanded large risk premia to hold equities, but the risk premia largely depended on and strongly decreased with the holding horizon. The term structure of equity and variance risk premia responds differently to various economic indicators. (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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页码:204 / 230
页数:27
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