The COVID-19 pandemic and the world trade network

被引:17
|
作者
Kiyota, Kozo [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Keio Univ, Keio Econ Observ, Minato Ku, 2-15-45 Mita, Tokyo 1088345, Japan
[2] Res Inst Econ Trade & Ind, Chiyoda Ku, 1-3-1 Kasumigaseki, Tokyo 1008901, Japan
[3] Tokyo Ctr Econ Res, Chiyoda Ku, 1-7-10-703 Iidabashi, Tokyo 1020072, Japan
基金
日本学术振兴会;
关键词
International trade; COVID-19; pandemic; Network; Centrality; Resilience; INTERNATIONAL-TRADE; UNIT-ROOT; BREAKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.asieco.2021.101419
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Global trade suffered a significant contraction in 2020 as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, and its growth is expected to remain below the pre-pandemic trend. Did the relative importance of countries in the world trade network change as a result of the pandemic? The answer to this question is particularly important for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries because of their relative importance in world trade as well as their strong trade linkages with China, where the COVID-19 virus originated. This paper examines how the world trade network has changed since the COVID-19 pandemic, with a particular focus on ASEAN countries. Tracking the changes in centrality from January 2000 to March 2021, we find no evidence for most ASEAN and major trading countries that centrality changed significantly after the pandemic began. Our results suggest the resilience of the trade pattern for these countries.
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页数:23
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