Harnessing the wisdom of the inner crowd

被引：48
|
作者：
Herzog, Stefan M. [1 ]
Hertwig, Ralph [1 ]
机构：
[1] Max Planck Inst Human Dev, Ctr Adapt Rat, D-14195 Berlin, Germany
来源：
TRENDS IN COGNITIVE SCIENCES | 2014年 / 18卷 / 10期
关键词：
estimation; judgments under uncertainty; inner crowd; crowd within; dialectical bootstrapping; judgment aggregation; wisdom of crowds; JUDGMENT; INDIVIDUALS;
D O I：
10.1016/j.tics.2014.06.009
中图分类号：
B84 [心理学]; C [社会科学总论]; Q98 [人类学];
学科分类号：
03 ; 0303 ; 030303 ; 04 ; 0402 ;
摘要：
Ever since Galton's classic demonstration of the wisdom of crowds in estimating the weight of a slaughtered ox, scholars of the mind and the public alike have been fascinated by the counterintuitive accuracy achieved by simply averaging a number of people's estimates. Surprisingly, individuals can, to some extent, harness the wisdom of crowds within the confines of their own mind by averaging self-generated, nonredundant estimates.
引用
收藏
页码：504 / 506
页数：3
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