Harnessing the wisdom of the inner crowd

被引：48
|
作者：
Herzog, Stefan M. [1 ]
Hertwig, Ralph [1 ]
机构：
[1] Max Planck Inst Human Dev, Ctr Adapt Rat, D-14195 Berlin, Germany
来源：
TRENDS IN COGNITIVE SCIENCES | 2014年 / 18卷 / 10期
关键词：
estimation; judgments under uncertainty; inner crowd; crowd within; dialectical bootstrapping; judgment aggregation; wisdom of crowds; JUDGMENT; INDIVIDUALS;
D O I：
10.1016/j.tics.2014.06.009
中图分类号：
B84 [心理学]; C [社会科学总论]; Q98 [人类学];
学科分类号：
03 ; 0303 ; 030303 ; 04 ; 0402 ;
摘要：
Ever since Galton's classic demonstration of the wisdom of crowds in estimating the weight of a slaughtered ox, scholars of the mind and the public alike have been fascinated by the counterintuitive accuracy achieved by simply averaging a number of people's estimates. Surprisingly, individuals can, to some extent, harness the wisdom of crowds within the confines of their own mind by averaging self-generated, nonredundant estimates.
引用
收藏
页码：504 / 506
页数：3
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Medical Crowdsourcing: Harnessing the "Wisdom of the Crowd" to Solve Medical Mysteries
    Dissanayake, Indika
    Nerur, Sridhar
    Singh, Rahul
    Lee, Yang
    JOURNAL OF THE ASSOCIATION FOR INFORMATION SYSTEMS, 2019, 20 (11): : 1589 - 1610
  • [2] The wisdom of the inner crowd in three large natural experiments
    Dennie van Dolder
    Martijn J. van den Assem
    Nature Human Behaviour, 2018, 2 : 21 - 26
  • [3] On an effective and efficient method for exploiting the wisdom of the inner crowd
    Fujisaki, Itsuki
    Yang, Kunhao
    Ueda, Kazuhiro
    SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2023, 13 (01)
  • [4] On an effective and efficient method for exploiting the wisdom of the inner crowd
    Itsuki Fujisaki
    Kunhao Yang
    Kazuhiro Ueda
    Scientific Reports, 13
  • [5] The Psychology of Second Guesses: Implications for the Wisdom of the Inner Crowd
    Gaertig, Celia
    Simmons, Joseph P.
    MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 2021, 67 (09) : 5921 - 5942
  • [6] The wisdom of the inner crowd in three large natural experiments
    van Dolder, Dennie
    van den Assem, Martijn J.
    NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR, 2018, 2 (01): : 21 - 26
  • [7] Working with a new kind of team: harnessing the wisdom of the crowd in trial identification
    Noel-Storr, Anna
    EFSA JOURNAL, 2019, 17
  • [8] Harnessing the Wisdom of the Confident Crowd in Medical Image Decision-Making
    Hasan, Eeshan
    Eichbaum, Quentin
    Seegmiller, Adam C.
    Stratton, Charles
    Trueblood, Jennifer S.
    DECISION-WASHINGTON, 2023, : 127 - 149
  • [9] Fermian guesstimation can boost the wisdom-of-the-inner-crowd
    Gomilsek, Tamara
    Hoffrage, Ulrich
    Marewski, Julian N.
    SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2024, 14 (01)
  • [10] Wisdom of the inner crowd benefits both face and voice matching
    Kramer, Robin S. S.
    Flanagan, Emily
    Jones, Alex L.
    Gous, Georgina
    APPLIED COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY, 2023, 37 (06) : 1409 - 1417
12345