Bayesian analysis of incomplete time and cause of failure data

被引:30
|
作者
Mukhopadhyay, C
Basu, AP
机构
[1] INDIAN STAT INST,BANGALORE 560059,KARNATAKA,INDIA
[2] UNIV MISSOURI,DEPT STAT,COLUMBIA,MO 65201
关键词
series system; competing risks; Weibull distribution; masking; EM algorithm; Bayesian estimation;
D O I
10.1016/S0378-3758(96)00103-6
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
For series systems with k components it is assumed that the cause of failure is known to belong to one of the 2(k) - 1 possible subsets of the failure-modes. The theoretical time to failure due to k causes are assumed to have independent Weibull distributions with equal shape parameters. After finding the MLEs and the observed information matrix of (lambda(1), ..., lambda(k), beta), a prior distribution is proposed for (lambda(1),..., lambda(k)), which is shown to yield a scale-invariant noninformative prior as well. No particular structure is imposed on the prior of beta. Methods to obtain the marginal posterior distributions of the parameters and other parametric functions of interest and their Bayesian point and interval estimates are discussed. The developed techniques are illustrated using a numerical example.
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页码:79 / 100
页数:22
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