Can China Realize the Grid Parity Target of Centralized Photovoltaic Power by 2020?

被引：6

作者：

Zhang, Xingping ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

Liu, Wenfeng ^{[1
]}

Zhang, Hongyang ^{[1
]}

Yuan, Jiahai ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] North China Elect Power Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China

[2] North China Elect Power Univ, Beijing Key Lab New Energy & Low Carbon Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China

[3] North China Elect Power Univ, Res Ctr Beijing Energy Dev, Beijing, Peoples R China

来源：

EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE | 2021年 / 57卷 / 03期

关键词：

centralized photovoltaic power; generation side grid parity; levelized cost of electricity; LEVELIZED COST; LCOE; ENERGIES; SYSTEM;

D O I：

10.1080/1540496X.2019.1598371

中图分类号：

F [经济];

学科分类号：

02 ;

摘要：

China has set an ambitious target of achieving the grid parity of solar power by 2020 in the 13th Five-Year Plan. This paper estimates the levelized costs of electricity (LCOE) of centralized photovoltaic power across regions in China with the actual situation in 2016 and simulation scenarios for 2020. Results demonstrate that the LCOEs of centralized photovoltaic power will decrease considerably during the period of 13th Five-Year. Few of them are competitive with generation side electric prices in 2016 basic scenario and 2020 pessimistic situation. Sensitivity analysis reveals that utilization hour, unit investment cost, and financing cost are key driving factors.

引用

页码：740 / 756

页数：17

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