Long-range memory model of trading activity and volatility

被引:15
|
作者
Gontis, V. [1 ]
Kaulakys, B. [1 ]
机构
[1] Vilnius State Univ, Inst Theoret Phys & Astron, LT-01108 Vilnius, Lithuania
关键词
models of financial markets; scaling in socio-economic systems; stochastic processes;
D O I
10.1088/1742-5468/2006/10/P10016
中图分类号
O3 [力学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0801 ;
摘要
Previously we proposed the stochastic point process model, which reproduces a variety of self-affine time series exhibiting power spectral density S(f) scaling as a power of the frequency f and derived a stochastic differential equation with the same long-range memory properties. Here we present a stochastic differential equation as a dynamical model of the observed memory in the financial time series. The continuous stochastic process reproduces the statistical properties of the trading activity and serves as a background model for the waiting time, return and volatility. Empirically observed statistical properties: exponents of the power-law probability distributions and power spectral density of the long-range memory financial variables are reproduced with the same values of few model parameters.
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页数:11
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