The greater Agulhas Current is one of the most energetic current systems in the global ocean. It plays a fundamental role in determining the mean state and variability of the regional marine environment, affecting its resources and ecosystem, the regional weather and the global climate on a broad range of temporal and spatial scales. In the absence of a coherent in-situ and satellite-based observing system in the region, modelling and data assimilation techniques play a crucial role in both furthering the quantitative understanding and providing better forecasts of this complicated western boundary current system. In this study, we use a regional implementation of the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model and assimilate along-track satellite sea level anomaly (SLA) data using the Ensemble Optimal Interpolation (EnOI) data assimilation scheme. This study lays the foundation towards the development of a regional prediction system for the greater Agulhas Current system. Comparisons to independent in-situ drifter observations show that data assimilation reduces the error compared to a free model run over a 2-year period. Mesoscale features are placed in more consistent agreement with the drifter trajectories and surface velocity errors are reduced. While the model-based forecasts of surface velocities are not as accurate as persistence forecasts derived from satellite altimeter observations, the error calculated from the drifter measurements for eddy kinetic energy is significantly lower in the assimilation system compared to the persistence forecast. While the assimilation of along-track SLA data introduces a small bias in sea surface temperatures, the representation of water mass properties and deep current velocities in the Agulhas system is improved.
机构:
Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Jia Bing-Hao
Zeng, Ning
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Univ Maryland, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
Univ Maryland, Earth Syst Sci Interdisciplinary Ctr, College Pk, MD 20742 USAChinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
Zeng, Ning
Xie Zheng-Hui
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Chinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R ChinaChinese Acad Sci, State Key Lab Numer Modeling Atmospher Sci & Geop, Inst Atmospher Phys, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
机构:
State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of SciencesState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
JIA Bing-Hao
Ning ZENG
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Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science & Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland, College ParkState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Ning ZENG
XIE Zheng-Hui
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State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of SciencesState Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Atmospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
机构:
Univ Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Univ Macau, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Macau, Peoples R ChinaUniv Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Zhou, Yuanyuan
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Li, Xu
Tang, Qiuhong
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Chinese Acad Sci, Key Lab Water Cycle & Related Land Surface Proc, Inst Geog Sci Nat Resources Res, Beijing, Peoples R China
Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing, Peoples R ChinaUniv Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Tang, Qiuhong
Kuok, Sin Chi
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Univ Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Univ Macau, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Macau, Peoples R ChinaUniv Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Kuok, Sin Chi
Fei, Kai
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Univ Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Univ Macau, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Macau, Peoples R ChinaUniv Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Fei, Kai
Gao, Liang
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Univ Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China
Univ Macau, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Macau, Peoples R ChinaUniv Macau, State Key Lab Internet Things Smart City, Macau, Peoples R China