Comments on 'The state of macroeconomic forecasting'

被引:5
|
作者
Croushore, D [1 ]
机构
[1] Fed Reserve Bank Philadelphia, Dept Res, Philadelphia, PA 19106 USA
基金
英国经济与社会研究理事会;
关键词
forecasting; data revisions; real-time data; forecast evaluation;
D O I
10.1016/S0164-0704(02)00057-5
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
The paper by Fildes and Stekler provides an overview of empirical results in macroeconomic forecasting. They do not address three key issues: (1) the importance of data revisions and the use of real-time data; (2) the statistical significance of differences between forecasts; and (3) the role of macroeconomic theory in formulating and evaluating macroeconomic forecasts. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science Inc. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:483 / 489
页数:7
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