Does investor sentiment on social media provide robust information for Bitcoin returns predictability?

被引:56
|
作者
Guegan, Dominique [1 ,2 ]
Renault, Thomas [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Paris 1 Pantheon Sorbonne CES, Paris, France
[2] Ca Foscari Univ, Venice, Italy
关键词
Cryptocurrency; Bitcoin; Investor sentiment; Investor attention; Market efficiency; Social media; Stocktwits;
D O I
10.1016/j.frl.2020.101494
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We use a dataset of approximately one million messages sent on StockTwits to explore the relationship between investor sentiment on social media and intraday Bitcoin returns. We find a statistically significant relationship between investor sentiment and Bitcoin returns for frequencies of up to 15 minutes. For lower frequencies, the relation disappears. We also find that the impact of sentiment on returns is concentrated on the period around the Bitcoin bubble. However, the magnitude of the effect is rather small making it impossible for a trader to make economic profits by trading on the information published on social media.
引用
收藏
页数:7
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Synergy between stock prices and investor sentiment in social media
    Liu, Qing
    Lee, Woon-Seek
    Huang, Minghao
    Wu, Qingjun
    [J]. BORSA ISTANBUL REVIEW, 2023, 23 (01) : 76 - 92
  • [22] Media-based investor sentiment and stock returns: a textual analysis based on newspapers
    He, Yu
    Qu, Linshan
    Wei, Ran
    Zhao, Xuankai
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS, 2022, 54 (07) : 774 - 792
  • [23] DOES INVESTOR SENTIMENT PREDICT STOCK RETURNS? THE EVIDENCE FROM CHINESE STOCK MARKET
    Bu Hui
    Pi Li
    [J]. JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS SCIENCE & COMPLEXITY, 2014, 27 (01) : 130 - 143
  • [24] Does Investor Sentiment Predict the Near-Term Returns of the Chinese Stock Market?
    Cheema, Muhammad A.
    Man, Yimei
    Szulczyk, Kenneth R.
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF FINANCE, 2020, 20 (01) : 225 - 233
  • [25] DOES INVESTOR SENTIMENT PREDICT STOCK RETURNS? THE EVIDENCE FROM CHINESE STOCK MARKET
    BU Hui
    PI Li
    [J]. 系统科学与复杂性学报(英文版), 2014, (01) : 130 - 143
  • [26] Does investor sentiment predict stock returns? The evidence from Chinese stock market
    Hui Bu
    Li Pi
    [J]. Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2014, 27 : 130 - 143
  • [27] Social Media Sentiment in International Stock Returns and Trading Activity
    Selin, Duz Tan
    Tas, Oktay
    [J]. JOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE, 2021, 22 (02) : 221 - 234
  • [28] Data selection and collection for constructing investor sentiment from social media
    Liu, Qing
    Son, Hosung
    [J]. HUMANITIES & SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS, 2024, 11 (01):
  • [29] Does online investor sentiment impact stock returns? Evidence from the Chinese stock market
    Lv, Yanzhao
    Piao, Jingzhe
    Li, Boning
    Yang, Meijuan
    [J]. APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2022, 29 (15) : 1434 - 1438
  • [30] The Effect of Sentiment on Information Diffusion in Social Media
    Salehan, Mohammad
    Kim, Dan J.
    [J]. AMCIS 2015 PROCEEDINGS, 2015,