A Decision Support Framework for Optimal Pricing and Advertising of Digital Music as Durable Goods

被引:2
|
作者
Ko, Tobey H. [1 ]
Lau, Henry Y. K. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Hong Kong, Dept Ind & Mfg Syst Engn, Pokfulam Rd, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
来源
IFAC PAPERSONLINE | 2016年 / 49卷 / 12期
关键词
decision support Systems; optimal stopping; durable goods; consumer choice model; optimal pricing; digital music; SALES;
D O I
10.1016/j.ifacol.2016.07.617
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
With the recent rising popularity of music streaming platform, collsurneas are now able to enjoy music as a service, playing music for free without paying to obtain the ownership, the threat to the record labels' financial prospect is eminent. We propose a novel decision support framework to assist the record label in making better informed decisions in the post release management timeframe to maximise the expected profit. By identifying the musical product as a durable goods, we model the consumers' consumption rule with forward-looking behaviour, viewing music streaming as the consumers option of delayed consumption, making purchase only when the expected discounted lifetime utility exceeds the expected utility from streaming. Our proposed decision support framework has the record label use both the price and advertising as instrument of control in achieving maximised expected discounted profit, playing strategically in anticipating to the consumers' decisions using an interactive Markov chain. We show in our illustrative example the proposed decision support framework is able to take decisions dynamically and performs substantially better than other single control variable decision tools. (C) 2016, IFAC (Informational rederation of Automatic Control) Hosting Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:277 / 282
页数:6
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