Residential electricity consumption in Portugal: Findings from top-down and bottom-up models

被引：150
|
作者：
Wiesmann, Daniel [1 ]
Azevedo, Ines Lima [2 ]
Ferrao, Paulo [1 ]
Fernandez, John E. [3 ]
机构：
[1] Univ Tecn Lisboa, Inst Super Tecn, P-1049001 Lisbon, Portugal
[2] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Dept Engn & Publ Policy, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
[3] MIT, Dept Architecture, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
来源：
ENERGY POLICY | 2011年 / 39卷 / 05期
基金：
美国国家科学基金会;
关键词：
Residential electricity consumption; Econometrics; Portugal; ENERGY USE; DEMAND;
D O I：
10.1016/j.enpol.2011.02.047
中图分类号：
F [经济];
学科分类号：
02 ;
摘要：
An econometric study of the Portuguese residential electricity consumption is presented, with a focus on the influence of dwelling characteristics on consumption. The relationship between the dwelling and household characteristics on per capita residential electricity consumption is estimated at two different scales, involving two distinct databases: the first includes data at the municipality level for 2001, the second is the most recent Portuguese consumer expenditure survey that was collected in 2005 and 2006. The results of the analysis at both scales are consistent and indicate that household and dwelling characteristics have a significant influence on residential electricity consumption. Our results show that in Portugal the direct effect of income on electricity consumption is low and becomes smaller when more relevant control variables are included in the analysis. Future demand of electricity in Portugal will be significantly influenced by trends in socioeconomic factors as well as changes in the building stock. These trends should be taken in consideration in the formulation of policy measures to reduce electricity consumption. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码：2772 / 2779
页数：8
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