Multifractal processes have recently been introduced as a new tool for modeling the stylized facts of financial markets and have been found to consistently provide certain gains in performance over basic volatility models for a broad range of assets and for various risk management purposes. Due to computational constraints, multivariate extensions of the baseline univariate multifractal framework are, however, still very sparse so far. In this paper, we introduce a parsimoniously designed multivariate multifractal model, and we implement its estimation via a Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) algorithm. Monte Carlo studies show that the performance of this GMM estimator for bivariate and trivariate models is similar to GMM estimation for univariate multifractal models. An empirical application shows that the multivariate multifractal model improves upon the volatility forecasts of multivariate GARCH over medium to long forecast horizons.
机构:
Boston Univ, Dept Phys, Boston, MA 02215 USA
Univ Tokyo, Dept Phys, Tokyo 1130033, JapanBoston Univ, Dept Phys, Boston, MA 02215 USA
Suwa, Hidemaro
Todo, Synge
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Univ Tokyo, Dept Phys, Tokyo 1130033, Japan
Univ Tokyo, Inst Solid State Phys, Kashiwa, Chiba 2778581, JapanBoston Univ, Dept Phys, Boston, MA 02215 USA
机构:
Shandong Univ, Zhongtal Secur Inst Financial Studies, Jinan, Peoples R ChinaShandong Univ, Zhongtal Secur Inst Financial Studies, Jinan, Peoples R China
Zhang, Xiaochen
Fang, Kuangnan
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Xiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Stat & Data Sci, Xiamen, Peoples R ChinaShandong Univ, Zhongtal Secur Inst Financial Studies, Jinan, Peoples R China
Fang, Kuangnan
Zhang, Qingzhao
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Xiamen Univ, Sch Econ, Dept Stat & Data Sci, Xiamen, Peoples R China
Xiamen Univ, Wang Yanan Inst Studies Econ, Xiamen, Peoples R ChinaShandong Univ, Zhongtal Secur Inst Financial Studies, Jinan, Peoples R China