Modeling and Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of St.Petersburg Region

被引：0
|
作者：
Shvetsov, Konstantin V. [1 ]
Chernogorskiy, Sergey A. [1 ]
Sorokozherdyev, Kirill G. [1 ]
Golubev, Vadim A. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Peter Great St Petersburg Polytech Univ, St Petersburg, Russia
来源：
EDUCATION EXCELLENCE AND INNOVATION MANAGEMENT THROUGH VISION 2020 | 2019年
关键词：
regional socio-economic development; spheres of economic activity; St.Petersburg;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
G40 [教育学];
学科分类号：
040101 ; 120403 ;
摘要：
This paper presents an analysis of the economic development of the region of St.Petersburg with an application of ADL-model. The model is built on the basis of quarterly macroeconomic data for 13 years. The equations were built on such regional indicators as average wages, GRP, as well as the birth rate. The influencing factors of the model represent the share of various types of economic activity in the GRP. Also, on the basis of the model, there were made forecasting of the endogenous variables for 8 quarters ahead, using the extrapolated data for independent variables. In order to perform the task the software package for econometric modeling Gretl was used.
引用
收藏
页码：2799 / 2808
页数：10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF FORECASTING LONG-TERM SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
    FEDORENK.NP
    [J]. AMERICAN ECONOMIST, 1973, 17 (02): : 46 - 48
  • [32] IMPACT OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF ARCHANGELSK REGION
    Shelomentsev, A. G.
    Gubina, O. V.
    [J]. EKONOMIKA REGIONA-ECONOMY OF REGION, 2009, 4 : 137 - 144
  • [33] Big Business in Socio-economic Development of Cities in the Baikal Region
    Grigorieva, M. A.
    Ippolitova, N. A.
    [J]. GEOGRAPHY AND NATURAL RESOURCES, 2011, 32 (02) : 166 - 171
  • [34] THE INFLUENCE OF THE REGIONAL SECTORAL STRUCTURE ON THE SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF A REGION
    Sorokozherdyev, Kirill G.
    Efimov, Evgeniy A.
    [J]. ECONOMY OF REGION, 2023, 19 (02) : 314 - 328
  • [35] Inequality of the population and its impact on the socio-economic development of the region
    Kostyleva, L., V
    Dubinichev, R., V
    [J]. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES-FACTS TRENDS FORECAST, 2009, 8 (04) : 95 - 103
  • [36] PRINCIPLES AND ELEMENTS OF THE SYSTEM IN THE MANAGEMENT OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION
    Shmygaleva, Polina
    Shatalova, Olga
    Kashcheeva, Elena
    Kobeleva, Anna
    Bruzhukova, Olga
    [J]. INDO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL SCIENCES, 2019, 6 (03): : 6886 - 6891
  • [37] Socio-Economic Security of the Region in the Context of Human Capital Development
    Yakovenko, Nataliya V.
    Semenova, Lyudmila
    Tsoy, Marina Ye.
    Zavyalova, Galina I.
    Semenova, Elena A.
    Belenok, Irina A.
    [J]. SUSTAINABILITY, 2023, 15 (01)
  • [38] Studying The Regional Features Of Socio-Economic Development The Stavropol Region
    Gerasimov, Alexey Nikolaevich
    Gromov, Yevgeny Ivanovich
    Sklyarova, Yuliya Mikhailovna
    Sklyarov, Igor Yurevich
    Shanin, Sergey Alexeyevich
    [J]. RESEARCH JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL BIOLOGICAL AND CHEMICAL SCIENCES, 2018, 9 (06): : 1882 - +
  • [39] MODELING AND FORECASTING CAR OWNERSHIP BASED ON SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS IN TURKEY
    Ceylan, Huseyin
    Baskan, Ozgur
    Ozan, Cenk
    [J]. TEMA-JOURNAL OF LAND USE MOBILITY AND ENVIRONMENT, 2018, : 47 - 66
  • [40] INSTITUTIONAL FACTOR IN INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OF REGION AND ITS SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT
    Andreeva, E. L.
    Linetsky, A. F.
    Ratner, A. V.
    Kuznetsova, D. E.
    [J]. EKONOMIKA REGIONA-ECONOMY OF REGION, 2016, 12 (04): : 1050 - 1059
12345