Modeling and Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of St.Petersburg Region

被引：0
|
作者：
Shvetsov, Konstantin V. [1 ]
Chernogorskiy, Sergey A. [1 ]
Sorokozherdyev, Kirill G. [1 ]
Golubev, Vadim A. [1 ]
机构：
[1] Peter Great St Petersburg Polytech Univ, St Petersburg, Russia
来源：
EDUCATION EXCELLENCE AND INNOVATION MANAGEMENT THROUGH VISION 2020 | 2019年
关键词：
regional socio-economic development; spheres of economic activity; St.Petersburg;
D O I：
暂无
中图分类号：
G40 [教育学];
学科分类号：
040101 ; 120403 ;
摘要：
This paper presents an analysis of the economic development of the region of St.Petersburg with an application of ADL-model. The model is built on the basis of quarterly macroeconomic data for 13 years. The equations were built on such regional indicators as average wages, GRP, as well as the birth rate. The influencing factors of the model represent the share of various types of economic activity in the GRP. Also, on the basis of the model, there were made forecasting of the endogenous variables for 8 quarters ahead, using the extrapolated data for independent variables. In order to perform the task the software package for econometric modeling Gretl was used.
引用
收藏
页码：2799 / 2808
页数：10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] MODELING AND FORECASTING SOCIO-ECONOMIC PROCESSES IN THE REGION
    Shuvaev, Alexander
    Butova, Olga
    Lebedev, Victor
    Lebedeva, Inna
    Skrebtsova, Tamara
    [J]. INDO AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL SCIENCES, 2019, 6 (04): : 7082 - 7086
  • [2] Forecasting indicators of socio-economic development of the region
    Ketova, Karolina V.
    Kasatkina, Yekaterina V.
    Nasridinova, Dayana D.
    [J]. ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES-FACTS TRENDS FORECAST, 2013, 28 (04) : 104 - 120
  • [3] Spatial Differentiation of Socio-Economic Development of the St. Petersburg Agglomeration
    Olifir D.I.
    [J]. Studies on Russian Economic Development, 2023, 34 (1) : 42 - 50
  • [4] Spatial Econometric Modeling And Forecasting The Socio-Economic Development Of The Regiond
    Gerasimov, Alexey Nikolaevich
    Gromov, Yevgeny Ivanovich
    Sklyarova, Yuliya Mikhailovna
    Sklyarov, Igor Yurevich
    Ashkhotov, Anzor Mukhamedovich
    [J]. RESEARCH JOURNAL OF PHARMACEUTICAL BIOLOGICAL AND CHEMICAL SCIENCES, 2018, 9 (06): : 1852 - +
  • [5] THE ROLE OF HUMAN POTENTIAL OF INTEGRATED STRUCTURES IN THE FORECASTING OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION
    Mamaeva, Viriniya
    Mamaev, Albert
    Tsaregorodtsev, Evgeny
    [J]. 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON EDUCATION, SOCIAL SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES (SOCIOINT 2017), 2017, : 317 - 323
  • [6] Foresight and forecasting of socio-economic development of rural territories
    Kovshov, Vitaliy
    Stovba, Eugene
    Lukyanova, Milyausha
    Zalilova, Zariya
    Sitdikova, Guzalia
    [J]. ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY, 2023,
  • [7] Imperatives of Forecasting of Socio-Economic Development of Russian Economy
    Fedotova, Gilyan V.
    Ilyasov, Ruslan K.
    Kovalenko, Oksana A.
    Tkachenko, Denis D.
    Malyutina, Tatiana D.
    [J]. FUTURE OF THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM: DOWNFALL OR HARMONY, 2019, 57 : 908 - 921
  • [8] SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF PILSEN AND THE OBERPFALZ REGION
    Janecek, Petr
    Tluchor, Jan
    [J]. OPPORTUNITIES AND THREATS TO CURRENT BUSINESS MANAGEMENT IN CROSS-BORDER COMPARISON 2014, 2014, (25): : 75 - 83
  • [9] THE DETERMINANTS OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN THE REGION OF PODKARPACIE
    Szara, Katarzyna
    [J]. HRADECKE EKONOMICKE DNY 2007, II: EKONOMICKY RUST A ROZVOJ REGIONU. ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT IN THE REGION, 2007, : 311 - 315
  • [10] COMPETITIVE POTENTIAL AND SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF THE REGION
    Nezhivenko, Elena
    Golovikhin, Sergei
    Nezhivenko, Grigory
    [J]. COMPETITIVENESS AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC SYSTEMS, 2021, 105 : 258 - 269
12345