Pre-election polling and sequential elections

被引:1
|
作者
Hummel, Patrick [1 ]
机构
[1] Yahoo Res, Berkeley, CA 94704 USA
关键词
polling; sequential elections; strategic voting; VOTING-BEHAVIOR; INFORMATION; ELECTABILITY; MODEL;
D O I
10.1177/0951629811416322
中图分类号
D0 [政治学、政治理论];
学科分类号
0302 ; 030201 ;
摘要
I consider a model in which the winner of a primary election faces a third candidate in a general election immediately thereafter. Prior to the primary election, there is a pre-election poll on how voters would vote in a hypothetical general election between one of the candidates in the primary election and the third candidate. I illustrate that voters have an incentive to misrepresent their voting intentions in the pre-election poll in order to influence voter beliefs about candidate electability in the general election and possibly cause voters to vote differently in the primary election.
引用
收藏
页码:463 / 479
页数:17
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