Evaluating the economic impacts of crop yield change and sea level rise induced by climate change on Taiwan's agricultural sector

被引：28

作者：

Chang, Ching-Cheng ^{[1
,2
]}

Chen, Chi-Chung ^{[3
]}

McCarl, Bruce ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Natl Taiwan Univ, Dept Agr Econ, Acad Sinica, Inst Econ, Taipei 115, Taiwan

[2] APEC Res Ctr Typhoon & Soc, Taipei 115, Taiwan

[3] Natl Chung Hsing Univ, Dept Appl Econ, Taichung 402, Taiwan

[4] Texas A&M Univ, Dept Agr Econ, College Stn, TX 77854 USA

来源：

AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS | 2012年 / 43卷 / 02期

关键词：

C61; Q11; Q54; Sea level rise; Stochastic agricultural sector model; Adaptation strategy; EQUILIBRIUM; GLACIERS; WEATHER; US;

D O I：

10.1111/j.1574-0862.2011.00577.x

中图分类号：

F3 [农业经济];

学科分类号：

0202 ; 020205 ; 1203 ;

摘要：

This article investigates the effects of sea level rise and climate change induced crop yield alterations on Taiwan as well as possible adaptation strategies. For sea level rise of up to 5 meters, as much as 4.9% of total acreage and 16% of rice acreage would be lost. The empirical findings show that the sea level damages range from NT$ 0.84 to 4.10 billion while crop yield losses range from NT$ 1.79 to 2.55 billion. We investigate alternative adaptation strategies finding crop yield technological progress and tariff reduction could significantly mitigate these effects.

引用

页码：205 / 214

页数：10

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