Volatility analysis with realized GARCH-Ito models

被引:22
|
作者
Song, Xinyu [1 ]
Kim, Donggyu [2 ]
Yuan, Huiling [3 ]
Cui, Xiangyu [1 ,4 ]
Lu, Zhiping [5 ]
Zhou, Yong [6 ,7 ,8 ]
Wang, Yazhen [5 ,9 ]
机构
[1] Shanghai Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Management, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[2] Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol KAIST, Coll Business, Daejeon, South Korea
[3] City Univ Hong Kong, Sch Data Sci, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[4] Shanghai Inst Int Finance & Econ, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[5] East China Normal Univ, Sch Stat, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[6] East China Normal Univ, Key Lab Adv Theory & Applicat Stat & Data Sci, MOE, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[7] East China Normal Univ, Acad Stat & Interdisciplinary Sci, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[8] East China Normal Univ, Sch Stat, Shanghai, Peoples R China
[9] Univ Wisconsin, Dept Stat, Madison, WI 53706 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 美国国家科学基金会; 上海市自然科学基金;
关键词
High-frequency financial data; Option data; Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation; Stochastic differential equation; Volatility estimation and prediction; MICROSTRUCTURE NOISE; FREQUENCY; JUMP; DRIVEN; TIME; MATRIX;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2020.07.007
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper introduces a unified approach for modeling high-frequency financial data that can accommodate both the continuous-time jump-diffusion and discrete-time realized GARCH model by embedding the discrete realized GARCH structure in the continuous instantaneous volatility process. The key feature of the proposed model is that the corresponding conditional daily integrated volatility adopts an autoregressive structure, where both integrated volatility and jump variation serve as innovations. We name it as the realized GARCH-Ito model. Given the autoregressive structure in the conditional daily integrated volatility, we propose a quasi-likelihood function for parameter estimation and establish its asymptotic properties. To improve the parameter estimation, we propose a joint quasi-likelihood function that is built on the marriage of daily integrated volatility estimated by high-frequency data and nonparametric volatility estimator obtained from option data. We conduct a simulation study to check the finite sample performance of the proposed methodologies and an empirical study with the S&P500 stock index and option data. (c) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:393 / 410
页数:18
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