Birth-death models are central to much macroevolutionary theory. The fundamental parameters of these models concern durations. Different species concepts realize different species durations because they represent different ideas of what birth (speciation) and death (extinction) mean. Here, we use Cenozoic macroperforate planktonic foraminifera as a case study to ask: what are the dynamical consequences of changing the definition of birth and death? We show strong evidence for biotic constraints on diversification using evolutionary species, but less with morphospecies. Discussing reasons for this discrepancy, we emphasize that clarity of species concept leads to clarity of meaning when interpreting macroevolutionary birth-death models.
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Univ Calif Davis, Dept Vet Med, Ctr Anim Dis Modelling, Davis, CA 95618 USAUniv Alberta, Dept Math & Stat Sci, Ctr Math Biol, Edmonton, AB T6G 2G1, Canada
Dohna, Heinrich Zu
Pineda-Krch, Mario
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Univ Alberta, Dept Math & Stat Sci, Ctr Math Biol, Edmonton, AB T6G 2G1, CanadaUniv Alberta, Dept Math & Stat Sci, Ctr Math Biol, Edmonton, AB T6G 2G1, Canada
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Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Stat Probabil & Appl Stat, I-00185 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma La Sapienza, Dept Stat Probabil & Appl Stat, I-00185 Rome, Italy
Orsingher, Enzo
Polito, Federico
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Univ Roma La Sapienza, Dept Stat Probabil & Appl Stat, I-00185 Rome, ItalyUniv Roma La Sapienza, Dept Stat Probabil & Appl Stat, I-00185 Rome, Italy
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Yale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT USA
Yale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Ecol, New Haven, CT USA
Yale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Evolutionary Biol, New Haven, CT USAYale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT USA
Crawford, Forrest W.
Ho, Lam Si Tung
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Dalhousie Univ, Dept Math & Stat, Halifax, NS, CanadaYale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT USA
Ho, Lam Si Tung
Suchard, Marc A.
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Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Biomath, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Biostat, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Human Genet, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAYale Univ, Sch Management, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT USA
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Yale Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT 06510 USAYale Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT 06510 USA
Crawford, Forrest W.
Minin, Vladimir N.
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Univ Washington, Dept Stat, Seattle, WA 98195 USAYale Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT 06510 USA
Minin, Vladimir N.
Suchard, Marc A.
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Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Biomath, Dept Biostat, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USA
Univ Calif Los Angeles, Dept Human Genet, Los Angeles, CA 90095 USAYale Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Biostat, New Haven, CT 06510 USA