Birth-death models are central to much macroevolutionary theory. The fundamental parameters of these models concern durations. Different species concepts realize different species durations because they represent different ideas of what birth (speciation) and death (extinction) mean. Here, we use Cenozoic macroperforate planktonic foraminifera as a case study to ask: what are the dynamical consequences of changing the definition of birth and death? We show strong evidence for biotic constraints on diversification using evolutionary species, but less with morphospecies. Discussing reasons for this discrepancy, we emphasize that clarity of species concept leads to clarity of meaning when interpreting macroevolutionary birth-death models.
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Univ Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USAUniv Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USA
Foo, Jasmine
Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki
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Univ Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USA
Univ Minnesota, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, St Paul, MN 55455 USAUniv Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USA
Gunnarsson, Einar Bjarki
Leder, Kevin
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Univ Minnesota, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, St Paul, MN 55455 USAUniv Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USA
Leder, Kevin
Sivakoff, David
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Ohio State Univ, Dept Stat & Math, Columbus, OH 43210 USAUniv Minnesota, Sch Math, St Paul, MN 55455 USA
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Mathematical Sciences Institute, Australian National University, Canberra, ACTMathematical Sciences Institute, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT
Gani J.
Swift R.J.
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Department of Mathematics and Statistics, California State Polytechnic University, Pomona, Pomona, CAMathematical Sciences Institute, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT