Study on the Factors Influencing on the Carbon Emissions of Shaanxi Province's Transportation Industry in China

Carbon peaking in the transportation industry is of great significance to achieving the goals of carbon peaks and carbon neutrality. By correcting the energy consumption data of Shaanxi province's transportation industry in China, adding the energy consumption data of non-operating vehicles to the total energy consumptions and building a more accurate calculation model for the carbon emissions of provincial transportation industry, this paper studies the contribution of the population size, the economic growth, the energy intensity, the energy structure, and the industrial scale of transportation to the carbon emissions, respectively, through the construction of a Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) model. The result shows that the carbon emissions of Shaanxi province's transportation industry in China increased from 15.730 million tons to 24.652 million tons from 2009 to 2019. Among them, the carbon emissions of the non-operating activities grew rapidly, increasing from 2.694 million tons to 10.334 million tons in the past 10 years. Within the research range, the economic growth effect is the most important factor driving the growth of the carbon emissions of Shaanxi province's transportation industry in China, increasing total carbon emissions by 22.701 million tons. The energy intensity effect and the industrial scale effect of transportation play the main role in inhibiting the carbon emissions of Shaanxi province's transportation industry in China, with a cumulative reduction in the total carbon emissions by 13.869 million tons.