SurvLIME: A method for explaining machine learning survival models

被引:50
|
作者
Kovalev, Maxim S. [1 ]
Utkin, Lev, V [1 ]
Kasimov, Ernest M. [1 ]
机构
[1] Peter Great St Petersburg Polytech Univ SPbPU, St Petersburg, Russia
关键词
Interpretable model; Explainable Al; Survival analysis; Censored data; Convex optimization; The Cox model; VARIABLE SELECTION; BLACK-BOX; REGRESSION; FORESTS; LASSO; PREDICTION; EXTENSIONS;
D O I
10.1016/j.knosys.2020.106164
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
A new method called SurvLIME for explaining machine learning survival models is proposed. It can be viewed as an extension or modification of the well-known method LIME. The main idea behind the proposed method is to apply the Cox proportional hazards model to approximate the survival model at the local area around a test example. The Cox model is used because it considers a linear combination of the example covariates such that coefficients of the covariates can be regarded as quantitative impacts on the prediction. Another idea is to approximate cumulative hazard functions of the explained model and the Cox model by using a set of perturbed points in a local area around the point of interest. The method is reduced to solving an unconstrained convex optimization problem. A lot of numerical experiments demonstrate the SurvLIME efficiency. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页数:20
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