Nuclear Catastrophe Risk Bonds in a Markov-Dependent Environment

被引:4
|
作者
Shao, Jia [1 ]
Pantelous, Athanasios A. [2 ]
Ayyub, Bilal M. [3 ]
Chan, Stephen [4 ]
Nadarajah, Saralees [5 ]
机构
[1] Coventry Univ, SIGMA, Stat, Coventry CV1 5DD, W Midlands, England
[2] Univ Liverpool, Dept Math Sci, Liverpool L69 7ZL, Merseyside, England
[3] Univ Maryland, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Ctr Technol & Syst Management, College Pk, MD 20742 USA
[4] Univ Manchester, Financial Math, Sch Math, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England
[5] Univ Manchester, Sch Math, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England
基金
英国工程与自然科学研究理事会;
关键词
Nuclear power risk; Catastrophe risk bonds; Global market; Liability; Special purpose vehicle; Semi-Markov environment; TERM STRUCTURE; CAT BONDS;
D O I
10.1061/AJRUA6.0000923
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The financing of the 2011 Fukushima disaster and the U.K. Hinkley nuclear power plant investment, respectively by the Japanese, and U.K. and Chinese governments and the private sector, provide a strong motivation for this paper to explore deeper the concept of modeling and pricing nuclear catastrophe (N-CAT) risk bonds. Because of the magnitude of the potential liabilities and reinvestments needed, the demand to develop a dependable liability coverage product that can be triggered in a case of emergency is required more than ever, and it should be considered thoroughly. Thus, in the present paper, under a semi-Markov structure environment to model the relationship between claims severity and intensity, the N-CAT risk bond is further explored under various scenarios supporting further the bond sponsors, allowing them to appreciate more their significance. Consequently, the new version of the N-CAT risk bond includes several absorbing and transit states to make it more suitable for practitioners. Additionally, this paper uses the two most commonly used interest rate models and considers four types of payoff functions. Finally, two numerical examples illustrate the main findings. (c) 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
引用
收藏
页数:12
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