A Simplified Skeletal Maturity Scale and Thumb Ossification Composite Index to Assess Skeletal Maturity and Predict Height Velocity in Japanese Females with Adolescent Idiopathic Scoliosis

Introduction: Since Little et al. first reported that peak height velocity (PHV) could be described as a reliable clinical marker for the prediction of remaining growth and curve progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) in clinical practice, much attention has been paid to PHV as a possible predictor of curve progression in patients with AIS. However, PHV itself is only identified retrospectively, so its value is not available at the first outpatient clinic visit. Using the simplified skeletal maturity scale (SSMS) and the thumb ossification composite index (TOCI) staging systems, this study aims to assess skeletal maturity and predict height velocity (HV) in Japanese female patients with AIS. Methods: This study involved 95 female patients with AIS, ranging from 9 to 17 years old. A standing AP radiograph of the entire spine and a hand radiograph were retrospectively obtained to establish the skeletal maturity stage in accordance with the SSMS and TOCI systems. Height measurements were recorded at each visit; HV was calculated as the height change (cm) divided by the time interval (years). Results: The TOCI stage rating increased identically to the SSMS stage rating increase. The chi-square test showed that there was a significant correlation between the two scoring systems (chi(2)=720.4). The Cramer V correlation also demonstrated a very strong correlation (Cramer V=0.62). Regarding the relationship between HV and each SSMS and TOCI stage, HV decreased as SSMS and TOCI stages increased. eta(2) equaled to 0.67 in both groups and displayed a strong correlation between HV and SSMS and TOCI stages. Conclusions: These findings suggest that evaluation of the rate of HV using these radiological assessments is of supreme importance for determining the status of pubertal maturity and predicting the remaining amount of adolescent growth at the outpatient clinic visit.