Consequences of the JAK2V617F allele burden for the prediction of transformation into myelofibrosis from polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia

Patients diagnosed with polycythemia vera (PV) or essential thrombocythemia (ET) sometimes suffer transformation of the disease into myelofibrosis (MF), which is associated with a poorer prognosis. This study investigated the prognostic value of the allele burden of JAK2V617F, a somatic driver mutation in these diseases, by comparing the allele burden between formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded bone marrow collected at initial diagnosis and peripheral blood from follow-up visits. Although the annual changes in the JAK2V617F allele burden were comparable between MF-transformed (n = 11) and untransformed (n = 23) patients, the burden was significantly increased in MF-transformed patients exhibiting a longer disease duration than untransformed patients. Furthermore, MF transformation was only observed in patients whose JAK2V617F allele burden exceeded the mean values for each disease (PV, 71.7 %; ET, 35.5 %) at initial diagnosis or during follow-up. Finally, we showed that hydroxycarbamide treatment exerted neither a preventive effect on MF transformation nor a suppressive effect on the increased JAK2V617F allele burden. In conclusion, a high JAK2V617F allele burden at initial diagnosis or during follow-up is predictive of MF transformation in PV and ET. Therefore, routine measurement of the JAK2V617F allele burden using an accurate assay system is recommended to predict MF transformation.