Research of Coal Resources Reserves Prediction Based on GM (1,1) Model

被引：0

作者：

Xiao, Jiancheng ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Shandong Univ Sci & Technol, Coll Min & Safety Engn, Qingdao 266590, Peoples R China

来源：

2017 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND MATERIAL APPLICATION (ESMA2017), VOLS 1-4 | 2018年 / 108卷

关键词：

Gray system theory; GM (1,1) model; Coal Recourses Reserves;

D O I：

10.1088/1755-1315/108/3/032073

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

Based on the forecast of China's coal reserves, this paper uses the GM (1, 1) gray forecasting theory to establish the gray forecasting model of China's coal reserves based on the data of China's coal reserves from 2002 to 2009, and obtained the trend of coal resources reserves with the current economic and social development situation, and the residual test model is established, so the prediction model is more accurate. The results show that China's coal reserves can ensure the use of production at least 300 years of use. And the results are similar to the mainstream forecast results, and that are in line with objective reality.

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页数：5

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