Analysis of interacting uncertainties in on-site and off-site activities: Implications for hybrid construction

被引:78
|
作者
Arashpour, Mehrdad [1 ]
Wakefield, Ron [1 ]
Lee, E. W. M. [2 ]
Chan, Ricky [3 ]
Hosseini, M. Reza [4 ]
机构
[1] RMIT Univ, Sch Property Construct & Project Management, 360 Swanston St, Melbourne, Vic 3000, Australia
[2] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Architecture & Civil Engn, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[3] RMIT Univ, Sch Civil Environm & Chem Engn, 360 Swanston St, Melbourne, Vic 3000, Australia
[4] Deakin Univ, Sch Architecture & Built Environm, Geelong, Vic, Australia
关键词
Decision making; Delay; Discrete event simulation; Integration; Performance measures; Prefabricated building elements; Project management; Resource availability; Workflow variance; PROJECT-MANAGEMENT; RISK-MANAGEMENT; COST; SIMULATION; SCHEDULE; SYSTEMS; OPTIMIZATION; FRAMEWORK; IMPACT; TIME;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijproman.2016.02.004
中图分类号
C93 [管理学];
学科分类号
12 ; 1201 ; 1202 ; 120202 ;
摘要
Interaction and integration of uncertainties in on-site and off-site project activities often result in the risk of delays and schedule overruns in hybrid construction projects. To address this problem, a holistic risk analysis approach that assesses the integrating impact of uncertainties on completion times is proposed. The results of the analysis show that growth in project size and work quantities intensifies pair and group interconnection of tasks within and between groups of on-site and off-site activities, resulting in lengthened completion times and deviations from project plans. Unavailability of resources, risk seeking attitudes, and workflow variability are other major contributors to the risk of late completion in hybrid construction. While project managers often analyze on-site and off-site uncertainties separately, practical implications of the research results suggest adoption of a holistic approach in which risk management practices in the two environments are integrated. This approach significantly improves tangible performance measures in projects. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. APM and IPMA. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1393 / 1402
页数:10
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