Analysis of land use/land cover spatio-temporal metrics and population dynamics for urban growth characterization

Promoting sustainable urbanization and limiting land consumption is a local and regional priority policy target in Europe. Monitoring and quantifying urban growth supports decision-making processes for the prevention of ecological and socio-economic consequences. In this work, we present a methodology based on spatio-temporal metrics and a new index (PUGI), that quantifies the inequality of growth between population and urban areas, to analyze and compare urban growth patterns at different levels. We computed an exhaustive set of spatio-temporal metrics at local level in a testing sample of six urban areas from the Urban Atlas database, then un-correlated metrics were selected and the data were interpreted at various levels. Results allow for a differentiation of growing patterns, discriminating between compact and sprawl trends. The index proposed complements the analysis by including demographic dynamics, being also useful for assessing the growing imbalance between the progression on residential areas and the population change at local level. The analysis at various levels contributes to a better understanding of urban growth patterns and its relation to sustainable policies not only within urban areas, but also for the comparison across Europe.