Comment on "Indirect land use change for biofuels: Testing predictions and improving analytical methodologies" by Kim and Dale: statistical reliability and the definition of the indirect land use change (iLUC) issue

被引：22

作者：

O'Hare, Michael ^{[1
]}

Delucchi, Mark ^{[2
]}

Edwards, Robert ^{[3
]}

Fritsche, Uwe

Gibbs, Holly ^{[4
]}

Hertel, Thomas ^{[5
]}

Hill, Jason ^{[6
]}

Kammen, Daniel ^{[1
,7
]}

Laborde, David ^{[8
]}

Marelli, Luisa ^{[3
]}

Mulligan, Declan ^{[3
]}

Plevin, Richard ^{[1
]}

Tyner, Wallace ^{[5
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Calif Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA

[2] Univ Calif Davis, Davis, CA 95616 USA

[3] European Commiss Joint Res Ctr, Ispra, Italy

[4] Univ Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI 53715 USA

[5] Purdue Univ, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA

[6] Univ Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN 55455 USA

[7] World Bank, Washington, DC USA

[8] Int Food Policy Res Inst, Washington, DC 20006 USA

来源：

BIOMASS & BIOENERGY | 2011年 / 35卷 / 10期

关键词：

Indirect land use change; Biofuels; Global warming; Agricultural markets; Corn ethanol; EMISSIONS;

D O I：

10.1016/j.biombioe.2011.08.004

中图分类号：

S2 [农业工程];

学科分类号：

0828 ;

摘要：

"Indirect land use change for biofuels: Testing predictions and improving analytical methodologies" by S. Kim and B. Dale [1], presents a principal inference not supported by its results, that rests on a fundamental conceptual error, and that has no place in the current discussion of biofuels' climate effects. The paper takes correlation between two variables in a system with many interacting factors to indicate (or contraindicate) causation, and draws a completely incorrect inference from observed sample statistics and their significance levels. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：4485 / 4487

页数：3

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