Portfolio selection under parameter uncertainty using a predictive distribution

被引:0
|
作者
Im, Ji Jung [1 ]
Lim, Hyun Soo [1 ]
Choi, Sung Sub [1 ]
机构
[1] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math, Pohang 790784, South Korea
来源
ANNALS OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE | 2007年 / 8卷 / 02期
关键词
portfolio selection; parameter uncertainty; estimation error; Bayesian framework; predictive distribution; generalized hyperbolic distribution; utility function; utility restoration ratio;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We propose a portfolio selection model based on a generalized hyperbolic predictive distribution. This distribution incorporates uncertainties in mean and volatility of market returns. We then select an optimal portfolio with expected utility calculated tinder the predictive distribution. We demonstrate the performance of the new approach by applying it to simulated and real market data.
引用
收藏
页码:301 / 312
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] Robust portfolio selection problem under temperature uncertainty
    Gulpinar, Nalan
    Canakoglu, Ethem
    EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2017, 256 (02) : 500 - 523
  • [22] Research and development project portfolio selection under uncertainty
    Nancy M. Arratia-Martinez
    Rafael Caballero-Fernandez
    Igor Litvinchev
    Fernando Lopez-Irarragorri
    Journal of Ambient Intelligence and Humanized Computing, 2018, 9 : 857 - 866
  • [23] Portfolio selection with parameter and model uncertainty: A multi-prior approach
    Garlappi, Lorenzo
    Uppal, Raman
    Wang, Tan
    REVIEW OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, 2007, 20 (01): : 41 - 81
  • [24] Systematic Parameter Selection for Optimization under Uncertainty
    Mueller, David
    Esche, Erik
    Lopez, Diana C. C.
    Wozny, Guenter
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 8TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON FOUNDATIONS OF COMPUTER-AIDED PROCESS DESIGN, 2014, 34 : 717 - 722
  • [25] α-ROBUST PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION PROBLEM UNDER THE DISTRIBUTION UNCERTAINTY
    DI, Shihan
    Ma, Dong
    Zhao, Peibiao
    JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL AND MANAGEMENT OPTIMIZATION, 2023, 19 (04) : 2528 - 2548
  • [26] Distribution and product selection under uncertainty
    Safiullin, L. N.
    Gafurov, I. R.
    Bagautdinova, N. G.
    Safiullin, N. Z.
    RECENT TRENDS IN SOCIAL AND BEHAVIOUR SCIENCES, 2014, : 309 - 313
  • [27] Value-driven IT Service Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty
    Augusto Oliveira, J.
    Sauve, Jacques
    Moura, Antao
    Queiroz, Magno
    Bartolini, Claudio
    Hickey, Marianne
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 2010 IEEE-IFIP NETWORK OPERATIONS AND MANAGEMENT SYMPOSIUM, 2010, : 416 - 423
  • [28] PROPOSED NORMATIVE PROCEDURE FOR PORTFOLIO SELECTION UNDER CONDITIONS OF UNCERTAINTY
    FRANKFURTER, GM
    PHILLIPS, HE
    SEAGLE, JP
    FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, 1977, 6 (04) : 43 - 50
  • [29] Portfolio selection with coherent Investor's expectations under uncertainty
    Li, Hong-Quan
    Yi, Zhi-Hong
    EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2019, 133 : 49 - 58
  • [30] Portfolio selection under uncertainty by the ordered modular average operator
    Li, Hong-Quan
    Yi, Zhi-Hong
    Fang, Yong
    FUZZY OPTIMIZATION AND DECISION MAKING, 2019, 18 (01) : 1 - 14