Portfolio selection under parameter uncertainty using a predictive distribution

被引:0
|
作者
Im, Ji Jung [1 ]
Lim, Hyun Soo [1 ]
Choi, Sung Sub [1 ]
机构
[1] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol, Dept Math, Pohang 790784, South Korea
来源
ANNALS OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE | 2007年 / 8卷 / 02期
关键词
portfolio selection; parameter uncertainty; estimation error; Bayesian framework; predictive distribution; generalized hyperbolic distribution; utility function; utility restoration ratio;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We propose a portfolio selection model based on a generalized hyperbolic predictive distribution. This distribution incorporates uncertainties in mean and volatility of market returns. We then select an optimal portfolio with expected utility calculated tinder the predictive distribution. We demonstrate the performance of the new approach by applying it to simulated and real market data.
引用
收藏
页码:301 / 312
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Sparse and Stable Portfolio Selection With Parameter Uncertainty
    Li, Jiahan
    JOURNAL OF BUSINESS & ECONOMIC STATISTICS, 2015, 33 (03) : 381 - 392
  • [2] Portfolio selection with parameter uncertainty under α maxmin mean-variance criterion
    Yu, Xingying
    Shen, Yang
    Li, Xiang
    Fan, Kun
    OPERATIONS RESEARCH LETTERS, 2020, 48 (06) : 720 - 724
  • [3] Portfolio Selection under Uncertainty Using Regret-Analysis
    Gisin, V. B.
    Khamidullina, L. F.
    2015 XVIII International Conference on Soft Computing and Measurements (SCM), 2015, : 259 - 260
  • [4] Optimization of maintenance policy under parameter uncertainty using portfolio theory
    Wu, Shaomin
    Coolen, Frank P. A.
    Liu, Bin
    IISE TRANSACTIONS, 2017, 49 (07) : 711 - 721
  • [5] PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION UNDER PARAMETER UNCERTAINTY USING THE RISK AVERSION FORMULA
    Kemaloglu, Sibel Acik
    Inan, Gultac Eroglu
    Apaydin, Aysen
    COMMUNICATIONS FACULTY OF SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF ANKARA-SERIES A1 MATHEMATICS AND STATISTICS, 2018, 67 (02): : 50 - 63
  • [6] Bayesian mean-variance analysis: optimal portfolio selection under parameter uncertainty
    Bauder, David
    Bodnar, Taras
    Parolya, Nestor
    Schmid, Wolfgang
    QUANTITATIVE FINANCE, 2021, 21 (02) : 221 - 242
  • [7] THE INVESTMENT DECISION UNDER UNCERTAINTY - PORTFOLIO SELECTION
    FARRAR, DE
    ECONOMETRICA, 1961, 29 (03) : 480 - 480
  • [8] Robust portfolio selection under norm uncertainty
    Lei Wang
    Xi Cheng
    Journal of Inequalities and Applications, 2016
  • [9] Power system portfolio selection under uncertainty
    Mari, Carlo
    ENERGY SYSTEMS-OPTIMIZATION MODELING SIMULATION AND ECONOMIC ASPECTS, 2019, 10 (02): : 321 - 353
  • [10] Power system portfolio selection under uncertainty
    Carlo Mari
    Energy Systems, 2019, 10 : 321 - 353