Volatility spillovers in the Iberian electricity market

被引:0
|
作者
Vicente, Joao [1 ]
Martins, Ana [2 ]
Lagarto, Joao [3 ]
Sousa, Jorge A. M. [3 ]
机构
[1] ISEL ADEEEA, Lisbon, Portugal
[2] ISEL ADM, Lisbon, Portugal
[3] INESC ID, ISEL ADEEEA, Lisbon, Portugal
关键词
Day-ahead market; Iberian electricity market; Variance decomposition; Vector autoregressive model; Volatility spillovers; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; MULTIVARIATE MODELS;
D O I
10.1109/EEM.2017.7981947
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
With the globalization of the world economy, the relationships between commodities, financial and other markets are relevant. Although the electricity market is a more recent kind of market, it is still related with other markets, such as, commodities markets (natural gas, coal, oil), and carbon emissions markets. In this work, we propose to study the interconnections between the day-ahead Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) and the commodities markets, as well as, the carbon emissions markets between 2010 and 2016. To achieve this purpose, we use the Diebold-Yilmaz framework, which proposes measures of the interdependence of returns and volatilities through variance decomposition of forecasted error variances in a generalized vector autoregressive model. Results show that the markets that had a higher influence in MIBEL in the analyzed period were the TTF and Zeebrugge natural gas markets and the markets that MIBEL most influenced were the Coal (API2) and CER market.
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页数:5
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