TIME-SERIES FORECASTING FOR SOME STATISTICAL MODELS

被引:0
|
作者
Al Mutairi, Alya [1 ]
机构
[1] Taibah Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Medina, Saudi Arabia
关键词
time-series analysis; forecasting; mathematical model; prediction; minimum mean square error; prediction intervals;
D O I
10.17654/0972361722051
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
Time-series forecasting (prediction) is one of the essential aims of `time-series analysis', which leads to the use of the mathematical model to predict future values based on the history of the time-series. In this paper, time-series analysis is discussed to derive meaningful statistics from the data. This study examines the prediction point and intervals of time-series for some models such as AR, MA and ARMA (p, q). The minimum mean square error forecast is also presented.
引用
收藏
页码:83 / 92
页数:10
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] HYBRID TIME-SERIES FORECASTING MODELS FOR TRAFFIC FLOW PREDICTION
    Rajalakshmi, V.
    Vaidyanathan, S. Ganesh
    [J]. PROMET-TRAFFIC & TRANSPORTATION, 2022, 34 (04): : 537 - 549
  • [32] Some evidence on forecasting time-series with support vector machines
    Hansen, J. V.
    McDonald, J. B.
    Nelson, R. D.
    [J]. JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY, 2006, 57 (09) : 1053 - 1063
  • [33] FORECASTING TRENDS IN TIME-SERIES
    GARDNER, ES
    MCKENZIE, E
    [J]. MANAGEMENT SCIENCE, 1985, 31 (10) : 1237 - 1246
  • [34] Time-series decomposition and forecasting
    [J]. Teodorescu, Dan, 1600, (50):
  • [35] Predicting quantum emitter fluctuations with time-series forecasting models
    Ramezani, Fereshteh
    Strasbourg, Matthew
    Parvez, Sheikh
    Saxena, Ravindra
    Jariwala, Deep
    Borys, Nicholas J.
    Whitaker, Bradley M.
    [J]. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2024, 14 (01)
  • [36] TIME-SERIES FORECASTING MODELS INVOLVING POWER-TRANSFORMATIONS
    HOPWOOD, WS
    MCKEOWN, JC
    NEWBOLD, P
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1984, 3 (01) : 57 - 61
  • [37] FORECASTING WHOLESALE DAIRY PRODUCT PRICES WITH TIME-SERIES MODELS
    BEAMER, BG
    SCHIEK, WA
    [J]. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, 1994, 76 (05) : 1253 - 1253
  • [38] FORECASTING TIME-SERIES WITH OUTLIERS
    CHEN, C
    LIU, LM
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1993, 12 (01) : 13 - 35
  • [39] FORECASTING NONNORMAL TIME-SERIES
    SWIFT, AL
    JANACEK, GJ
    [J]. JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1991, 10 (05) : 501 - 520
  • [40] TIME-SERIES DECOMPOSITION AND FORECASTING
    TEODORESCU, D
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CONTROL, 1989, 50 (05) : 1577 - 1585