Vaccination and social distance to prevent COVID-19

被引:5
|
作者
Batistela, Cristiane M. [1 ]
Ramos, Marien M. [1 ]
Cabrera, Manuel A. M. [1 ]
Dieguez, Giovanni M. [1 ]
Piqueira, Jose R. C. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sao Paulo, Control Engn Dept, Sao Paulo, Brazil
来源
IFAC PAPERSONLINE | 2021年 / 54卷 / 15期
关键词
SIR model; social distancing; stability; vaccination; reproduction number; MATHEMATICAL-THEORY;
D O I
10.1016/j.ifacol.2021.10.247
中图分类号
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号
0812 ;
摘要
In order to analyze the effect of vaccination in a population with the presence of viruses, a variation of the SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model is proposed taking into account social distancing and the effect of the vaccine. The equilibrium points of the proposed model are calculated and the stability analysis of the system is carried out. For the proposed model, disease-free equilibrium point and endemic equilibrium point are found and the conditions of existence are discussed. For the disease-free equilibrium point the bifurcation conditions are derived and simulations show that reducing the vaccination effort can lead the disease-free equilibrium to the endemic equilibrium. From the theoretical analysis, a minimum value of effort is obtained to guarantee a disease-free equilibrium point. Simulations were carried out from the value obtained from R-v to validate the theoretical results. Copyright (C) 2021 The Authors.
引用
收藏
页码:151 / 156
页数:6
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