The comparison of medium-term energy demand forecasting methods for the need of microgrid management

Trends on the European energy markets show that renewable energy sources take an increasingly important position in the power supply. Recent developments concern inter alia formation of microgrids, where local energy sources meet the local energy consumption demand. Consequently, it is necessary to propose effective methods for predicting demand of small groups of prosumers. Accurate forecasts of a network load enable balancing the energy supply and demand in microgrids. This article aims at presenting the research results on comparison of different methods for energy demand forecasting in the medium-term horizon. The study was based on real data concerning one year's households energy consumption. The results of this research were implemented as a part of the forecasting module in the Future Energy Management System.