The Option Game Model of Research and development Investment Timing under Uncertainty

被引:1
|
作者
Sun Yan-mei [1 ]
Sun Chang-xiong [1 ]
机构
[1] Harbin Inst Technol Sch, Sch Management, Harbin, Peoples R China
关键词
option game; jump diffusion; operating costs; equilibrium;
D O I
10.1109/ICCIT.2009.231
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
The research and development (R&D) investment timing decision-making problem is studied based on option game theory in this paper. The existence and inequality of two businesses operating costs are assumed, and jump diffusion is used to describe sudden events. The duopoly option game model is established to obtain the R&D investment value function and the critical value to invest. The game strategy and profit matrix of both firms are constructed, to discuss the existing forms of equilibrium, so that each timing for sequential equilibrium, preemptive equilibrium and simultaneous equilibrium is achieved.
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页码:1397 / 1402
页数:6
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