Explaining Interregional Migration Changes in China, 1985-2000, Using a Decomposition Approach

被引:44
|
作者
Shen, Jianfa [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog & Resource Management, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[2] Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Res Ctr Urban & Reg Dev, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
Regional development; Migration change; Migration decomposition; China; R23; INTERPROVINCIAL MIGRATION; SPATIAL STRUCTURE; PROVINCIAL MIGRATION; SETTLEMENT INTENTION; FLOATING POPULATION; GRAVITY PARAMETERS; INTERNAL MIGRATION; NET MIGRATION; 2000; CENSUS; MODELS;
D O I
10.1080/00343404.2013.812783
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Shen J. Explaining interregional migration changes in China, 1985-2000, using a decomposition approach, Regional Studies. This paper estimates the effects of changing parameters in migration models and the changing demographic, social, and economic attributes in origin and destinations on migration flows. A decomposition approach is developed based on multilevel Poisson migration models. Multilevel Poisson migration models are estimated for migration in China for the periods 1985-1990 and 1995-2000. Overall, the total inter-provincial migration was increased by 22 million in China from 1985-1990 to 1995-2000. The decomposition result shows that 62.28% of this increase was due to changes in the value of explanatory variables, while 37.72% was due to changes in the value of model parameters.
引用
收藏
页码:1176 / 1192
页数:17
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